Cast-mono wafer production forecast to reach 2.4-GW in 2012
March 27, 2012 // Paul Buckley
PV polysilicon and wafer prices fell approximately 50% in 2011 with demand for solar systems forecast to be down or flat in 2012. Polysilicon and wafer prices are expected to remain under heavy pressure.
As a result, revenues for both industries are predicted to shrink, polysilicon by 35% and wafer by 47%.
The new NPD Solarbuzz Polysilicon and Wafer Supply Chain Quarterly pinpoints significant oversupply of both polysilicon and wafer production is causing less competitive manufacturers to temporarily idle or shutter factories and reduce utilization. Polysilicon factory utilization is forecast to fall from 76% in 2011 to 66% in 2012. Wafer utilization is forecast to fall from 64% to 57%.
In the challenging market, cast-mono is emerging as an important strategy for wafer and vertically integrated module makers, particularly in China, to increase competiveness. The technology enables hybrid mono/multi-crystalline ingots to be grown in high productivity conventional multi-crystalline DS casting furnaces at lower costs than Cz grown mono ingots.
“Chinese manufacturers know they need to increase conversion efficiencies in order to remain competitive in the oversupplied market. They see cast-mono as a low-cost approach with relatively low technical barriers to achieving this goal,” said Charles Annis , Vice President at NPD Solarbuzz.
Commercial production of cast-mono wafers and modules began in 2011. This year, cast-mono is predicted to account for 2.4 GW, or about 8%, of total PV wafer production. Based on survey results detailed in the report, cast-mono production is forecast to grow steadily and to account for more than 25% of all wafer production by 2016.
“Many leading Chinese manufacturers are very optimistic about cast-mono, but there are still multiple technical and commercial challenges, such as the wide range of efficiency distributions and the non-uniform appearance of modules, which need to be resolved before the technology can fully achieve its promise of higher efficiency at lower costs. In 2012, we will see how the end market receives a strong supplier push of cast-mono,” added Annis.
Figure 1: Polysilicon and PV Wafer Industry Revenues
Source: NPD Solarbuzz Q1’12 Polysilicon and Wafer Supply Chain Quarterly
Visit NPD Solarbuzz at www.solarbuzz.com
Volvo starts large test with robot cars on public roads
December 05, 2013
Hundred autonomous vehicles will populate Gotenburg's streets in the near future. In a project with several partners, the ...
Gartner: Qualcomm, Micron rise in 2013 chip market
Connected Lighting Alliance focuses on shaping indoor professional lighting standards
Transport for London plans new road network lighting program to trim energy use by 40 per cent
World market for direct current power systems for commercial buildings to be USD10bn by 2020
Wireless gesture control device monitors muscle activity to decode user input
December 04, 2013
With its wearable armband Myo, North American startup Thalmic Labs records and interprets the electric signals of the wearer’s ...
Jobs to go at Lfoundry Rousset
Tower signs deal with Shanghai hub
NXP, Datang Telecom launch first Chinese automotive chip company
- 3mm × 3mm QFN IC Directly Monitors 0V to 80V Supplies
- UltraCMOS® Semiconductor Technology Platforms: A Rapid Advancement of Process & Manufacturing
- Adaptive Cell Converter Topology Enables Constant Efficiency in PFC Applications
- Isolated 4-Channel, Thermocouple/RTD Temperature Measurement System with 0.5°C Accuracy
InterviewPerformance monitoring solution helps provide intelligent control of high power systems
A performance monitoring solution designed to enable companies to monitor high power IGBT module systems in locomotive, wind turbine, High Voltage DC and industrial drive applications was unveiled this ...
Filter WizardCheck out the Filter Wizard Series of articles by Filter Guru Kendall Castor-Perry which provide invaluable practical Analog Design guidelines.
Linear video channel
READER OFFERRead more
Internet of Things (IoT) manufacturer Ciseco has launched the Raspberry Pi ‘Wireless Inventors Kit’ (RasWIK), featuring 88 pieces to provide everything a Pi owner needs to follow a series of step-by-step projects or to create their own wireless devices, without the need for configuration or even writing code.
RasWIK has been designed to be highly accessible, demystifying the dark art of wireless and enabling anyone with basic computing skills to begin building wireless devices with a Raspberry Pi. You can create anything from a simple traffic light, to a battery monitor, or even a temperature gauge that sends data to the Xively IoT cloud so billions can access the data.This month, Ciseco is giving away twelve Raspberry Pi Wireless Inventors kits, worth £49.99 each for EETimes Europe's readers to win. Read more
December 15, 2011 | Texas instruments | 222901974
Unique Ser/Des technology supports encrypted video and audio content with full duplex bi-directional control channel over a single wire interface.